Administration, Fiscal Agencies Reach Consensus on Revenue Estimates

Contact: See contact information below.

Jan. 15, 2021

State Treasurer Rachael Eubanks, State Budget Director Dave Massaron, Senate Fiscal Agency Director Christopher Harkins and House Fiscal Agency Director Mary Ann Cleary today reached consensus on revised economic and revenue figures for the remainder of Fiscal Year (FY) 2021 and for the upcoming 2022 and 2023 fiscal years.

FY2021 and 2022 Revenue Forecasts (General Fund and School Aid Fund Combined)

 

January

2020

August

2020

Change from January to August

January 2021

Change from January 2020 to January 2021

FY 2021

$25.51 billion

$23.04 billion

-$2.47 billion

$24.27 billion

-$1.24 billion

FY 2022

$26.16 billion

$24.45 billion

-$1.71 billion

$25.32 billion

-$84 million

 

“While the pandemic has had a dramatic impact on our economy, the state of Michigan has outperformed national averages in a number of areas,” State Treasurer Rachael Eubanks said. “While still down more than $1 billion compared to before the pandemic, today the state’s revenues were raised upwards primarily due to direct and indirect impacts from the federal stimulus. Our economic recovery this year will continue to depend on the course of the pandemic and the additional economic relief coming from Washington D.C. There is cautious hope and optimism as we move forward as vaccines are administered, and we begin to put the pandemic behind us.”

In addition to the FY2021 and FY2022 forecasts, initial revenue estimates for FY 2023 were released.  

FY2023 Revenue Forecast

 

General Fund

School Aid Fund

Overall

FY 2023

$11.17 billion

$14.73 billion

$25.90 billion

 

These revenue estimates are based on the most recent economic projections and forecasting models. As with any economic and revenue forecasts, there are potential risks to the estimates agreed to today, including further COVID-19 outbreaks, national economic trends, and international economic issues.

“The good news is that the revenue picture has as a result of the Governor’s proactive management of the pandemic improved since we last did estimates in August,” State Budget Director Dave Massaron said. “This provides one-time revenue to make necessary investments in the pandemic recovery and other one-time needs of the state.”

The January Consensus Revenue Estimating Conference’s detailed forecast – as well as presentations from today’s session – can be found on the House Fiscal Agency’s website.

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Contacts:

Ms. Danelle Gittus (gittusd@michigan.gov) or Mr. Ron Leix (leixr@michigan.gov)

Press Hotline: 517-335-2167

 

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